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Lloyd Ketchum - YAB, "Yet Another Blog"

February 2008 - Posts

  • Vista, It is what it is...

    Next to, "You today, me tomorrow..." it is what it is has to be my favorite saying.

    Windows Vista is what it is... and while it is just an operating system, it is at the center of a pretty important ecosystem and relevant to nearly all of us working in the technology industry.

    Explanations are often simple... we often cannot change things, but we can respond to them in productive ways - it is a choice and choosing to find the best in all things and all people isn't a bad one. Embracing things for what they are, and making the very best of them, can be a lot more productive than looking for faults. You today, me tomorrow... - you may need my help today and I will gladly give it, because sure as day follows night, I will need your help in the morning. I tell every member of my family and teams at work (they really are one in the same) to always seek out the best in all people and all things, because if one looks for faults, one is 100% certain to find them - if one looks for the best, they are likely to find that, too - most especially in themselves.

    I take some flak for not being more frequently critical of Windows Vista. The time for that is past and, as a Microsoft Partner, any misgivings I had for the new OS were appropriately delivered when the operating system was in testing - they were many, and they were sharply delivered. On occasion, my criticisms weren't especially helpful or even professional and from time to time, they were best characterized as a mad rant. On other occasions they were productive and delivered in appropriate and perhaps helpful ways. I've been in this industry for much longer than many seasoned IT/MIS professionals have been alive and I knew Windows Vista was in for a rough ride in a following sea. I'm old enough to know more than operating systems; I know our industry and more than a thing or two about communications, media and business as they relate to technology. I knew that collectively, many aspects of our society and industry were going to line up and bash the ever loving crap out of Windows Vista. I'll get to why in a moment...

    As Vista shipped and rapidly matured, our roles changed - evaluations ended and work would begin. Work to design, test and deploy computers and networks that delight customers and run Windows Vista, and work to make sure that customers remain delighted, productive and safer while on-line. As a partner, not just of Microsoft's, but of an industry, it is our responsibility to act like one and deliver on our end. It's easy to take that the wrong way - to be labeled, and branded with hot irons as a mere shill. That isn't appropriate and the word "partner" needs to be considered - what it means and what it means to be a good one. First, partnering is about fairness, honesty, integrity and objectivity. Partnering is also about being loyal to those one partners with. Entering into a partnership is not easy and should not be taken lightly. It isn't about seeking unfair advantage, or cutting and running when things aren't going as well as they might be. Being a good partner demands that one embrace the full weight of their responsibility and seek out and implement solutions. Being a good partner is also about being good in a storm and working with what you have as opposed to what you want. Above all else, being a good partner is about being consistent. So when a new operating system ships, a good partner learns it - its strengths, its weaknesses and the many ways to shape it to suite one's customers. In that spirit and opposite all the companies and governments with which we partner, we apply our best efforts. While on occasion we do not see the same effort in return, in most cases we see those we partner with treat us with equal respect, objectivity and loyalty. We are consistent about that and as such companies are consistent with us and our collective customers benefit and trust us with their business. That is the simple math attending what it is to be a partner - of Microsoft's or of any other company.

    Working with Windows Vista is and has been no different. Vista, like any operating system, takes effort - consistent effort and a continuous pursuit of excellence. Vista, like any operating system, is no panacea, but it is a platform that certainly can be discovered and managed with reasonable effort - and certainly it requires no more effort than any version of Windows before it. I expected other partners and industry experts to continue to embrace similar interpretations of what it is to work in our industry.

    What I did not expect is that a large percentage of on-line experts and technology pundits would prove to be as subjective as they have been. Objectivity, testing, discovery and problem solving don't sell well these days. "Snark" does. Take Michael J. Miller, - very accomplished, equally objective and most experienced. He doesn't write for PC Magazine any longer. Why? He's objective, thorough, thoughtful and accurate - one would think he'd be doing amazingly well in the tech journalism space... But wait..he's not snarky; doesn't look snarky and he couldn't pull off cool if his backside were immersed in liquid nitrogen. He doesn't fit the modern mold and what now passes for journalism. Mr. Miller is one other thing in my opinion, he's morally courageous - rather than jump on Snarky's Machine, he got off and now heads up technology strategy at Ziff Brothers Investments, a private investment firm.

    In Snark Infested Waters, one can't solve problems, or build things that actually work well. In the land and day of the Snark, it's illegal to use even simple tools to diagnose and resolve computer problems. If you do, you're a shill, or worse, a liar and a fraud. Thousands of Microsoft Partners build terrific Windows Vista computers - nearly 130 million at last count. A big percentage of those computers run really well and the people that use them will probably never read a computer magazine - much less a blog like this. The computers we build run really well - not because we love computers, but because we really do care about the people that use the computers we build. And yes, we do love some of our customers - as friends, brothers and close colleagues often do. We also love to work with computers and at least one of my boys wishes he was directly jacked into them (some days I think he is - he's that good)

    Building great experiences based on Windows Vista is not hard to do. While it requires effort, that effort is not especially great, or unreasonable - if it were, we could not afford to do it and the objective side of what it is to be a partner would have to communicate that we could not do it. Are there challenges faced when building a Vista based computer? You bet! Are the challenges really tough? No! They are in fact, fewer and less problematic than they are with previous versions of Windows and a lot less challenging than those inherent to non-Windows operating systems. (I gotta ask... how many Linux based computers have you built this year? ...That are really used by real people? How many? - I'd bet I have built and shipped more than any tech pundit I have written about. (how many kids have you taught to install and configure Linux as well as Windows Vista? How many?)).

    Snarking for a living - does any of us really think Jim Louderback could configure a Linuces if he couldn't solve his problems with Windows Vista?

    It has become so bad that one can't offer solutions - not unless they require a Snarkel to breathe... Let's say rather than speak objectively about Windows Vista and share solutions we discover for that which challenges it and based upon a positive perspective, instead and for ad dollars, I stated what is not true - and that I hated it... but here's how to fix it... sort of... (I'd be an article over at Maximum PC?). Well... I'd be lying. I like the new version of Windows. Do I like everything about it? Nope. Do I like more about it than I don't like about it? Absolutely!

    What don't I like about Vista? Well... a lot, actually... I am used to placing the Network icon on the desktop and right-clicking it to get to adapter properties. In Vista we all know such things are found much deeper in the UI. Ok and I understand that a) adjusting network settings is a lot easier for end users of Vista, b) one does not very often adjust network adapter properties and c) in enterprise environments these are managed for users, or at least pre-set... I get that, but I still miss how quickly I could get to them in previous versions of Windows.

    What I like about Vista is Instant Search and that saves me and many users a lot more time than having readier access to the adapter and its property sheet. Staying positive can be easy and produce good results - by example, type Network into Vista's instant search box and you'll note that the third return at the top is for the Network Sharing Center - offering a lot more than simple access to adapter properties.

    So perhaps Vista isn't bad...? it's different... it is what it is...

    Snarks are, too... To me the modern Snark is best exemplified by Mr. Chris Pirillo. He seems to have found new relevance in a sea of Snarks by emulating them and gaining the attention of and ad dollars from sponsors that are also competitors of Microsoft's and therefore Vista. Chris wants us to believe that a move from Outlook 2000 to Outlook 2007 on Vista is somehow more traumatic and unacceptable than a complete move to a new platform (OS X). He adds to this difficult to grasp logic by comparing (favorably) features and behaviors in Apple's mail.app to Outlook 2000?!? - without ever running Outlook 2007... all while simply saying, "Outlook" Huh?!? (Which version, Chris and in which configuration? Outlook Anywhere? Outlook 2000 as a POP3 Client? Yeah, I thought so...) 

    Chris continues to confuse at least me, by venting buckets of spleen over an HP Printer / Scanner that I'd guess is at least as old as his preferred version of Outlook (1999/2000??) which proved to be unsupported by Windows Vista... and by some means, in the land and sea of the Snark, a new printer is more costly than a new Mac Pro with dual quad core processors and 16 GB of fully buffered RAM?!?!? What?!?

    But wait... as Chirs sorta, kinda, revealed... his sponsors helped him acquire that new $5,000.00 Mac Pro and all that RAM.

    Ok, no problem at all. Chris can do what he likes by whatever means he likes... and so can I.

    I have a couple of problems with Chris Pirillo opposite not his move, but how it was couched. He's a "tech expert" and surely he could have run the Windows Update Advisor before choosing to move to Windows Vista and discovering his software and hardware were unsupported? Certainly he could have. He could have disclosed the results of his discovery and if the advisor had misinformed him, then he would have had a legitimate reason to hold Vista and Microsoft to task. As an expert to the many people who trust him, Chris could have and should have simply presented the facts, but he didn't, or worse, couldn't because, may be, perhaps... he's not really a PC expert at all? I think he is an expert, and that troubles me.

    So either Chris is an expert, or he's not. Regardless, I wish him success. If he's not an expert, cool. He's just a nice kid that's found his voice and an audience to share it with. Fine. As I see it, if he is an expert, then he's got some issues that go well beyond the mild OCD and ADD he shares with his viewers... he's got some integrity issues that should cost him and plenty. If, as an expert Chris and many like him, intentionally shape the truth for personal gain and ad dollars from Microsoft's competitors, then we have to start to ask a lot more questions and in a lot of different ways. If Chris, like Mr. Miller, was losing traction and relevance in the modern world of the Snark, we have to ask what the real motivations were for his recent move. Unlike Mr. Miller, Chris seems to have taken a different and in my opinion, less than honorable route. Was it simply a matter of money and relevance, or was it that he simply did not like Vista? The later is fine, and so is the former - so long as Chris is candid about it. Choice and candor are always respected. BS and most especially, Snarky BS are not.

    It's really simple... dislike Vista all you want. Scream from the mountain tops that you hate it. But the second one leverages a position of trust to present less than accurate information in order to gain favor and ad dollars from competitors of the product being bashed, then that is where I find real trouble and real reasons to be concerned.

    It's fine and good to compete - with Microsoft most especially - just do it openly and candidly and even if you think that Microsoft abused its dominant position in the market, that never justifies dumping your own integrity. Multiple wrongs don't make things right and injustices aren't mitigated by any one sense of justice.

    To me, people are jumping naked into Snark Infested Waters, because there's money in it.

  • Scratching my head...

    I just don't get it.

    What in H.E. Double-Hockey-Sticks are people doing that has caused so many to have so much trouble running Windows Vista?

    Some Background:

    I need to share a different perspective - the only one I know and that is the one shaped by what we encounter in my company each and every day. For me, Windows Vista has been wonderful and I have come to really enjoy using and supporting the operating system.

    We are a full service technology company. We build computers, laptops, media centric systems, and servers. We build and manage the networks we build the computers to run in. We host a wide variety of services and we build a lot of software - custom Decision Control Panels, a complete ERP and just about everything in between. We operate our own datacenters and we sell bandwidth; our own circuits and related products and services. We are Microsoft Partners, and we have partnering relationships with many others, AT&T (we miss you Bellsouth), Verizon, Packet8, WiLife, and a dozen other smaller companies. The best part of what we do is support our customers. We know them and their businesses well, and they are the best part of every day. Frankly, they amaze and humble us - they are that good and more supportive of us than any company deserves.

    We've been around Windows Vista for a long time - since well before BETA 2. Ironically, but not happily, when I first saw BETA 2 of Windows Vista, I was furious. I could tell that the new operating system was going to have one heck of a rough time. I wrote a lot about why I assessed Vista would struggle and why the Windows base would revolt. At that time I was flamed for being either too harsh, or as one gut put it, "a drama queen" ( I nearly pissed myself laughing at that one - because I despise drama for the pure sake of it - I do call things as I see them, however... ). I wish I was wrong and wish Vista had been embraced - after all, we are Microsoft Partners and in all sincerity, as with all partners, loyalty matters. So BETA 2 impressions be damned, we were going to give Vista our best efforts - and we did / do.

    Beginning with Pre-RC1 Vista builds, things were looking up - the new OS was taking shape and its legs were less wobbly. By RC2 and the incremental post RC2 build just before RTM, it was clear that the new OS was going to run well. There were a few scary moments there, just before RC1 - when as a NAT Client behind Watch-Guard firewall appliances, the new networking stack in Vista and the image we were testing didn't get along. Microsoft's engineers were really quick to jump on that one and by RC1, NAT Client issues were resolved. It was fun to work with them and feel their very deep sense of urgency. It felt good to have helped resolve a real challenge and well... work as a partner.

    Expectations:

    Candidly, we didn't expect much from Windows Vista at first. We had tested a wide variety of systems and having been through the entire new OS process many times before, we didn't expect a perfect ride, or even an easy one. We were wrong - deploying RTM builds of Vista went off without nearly as much difficulty as XP had caused and a whole lot less than Windows 2000 did, and just wads less than the first builds of Windows 98 did over Windows 95 - compared to those experiences, Windows Vista over XP was a walk in the park. Memories of Windows 95 upgrades aren't fair for two reasons, 1) it was so new in so many ways, there wasn't a relevant example to compare it to, and 2) things were not nearly as complex back then as they would be by the time Windows 98 rolled out a short time later. There are however, two similarities between Windows 95's release and that of Windows Vista. First, we didn't expect much of Windows 95 either, and second, both operating systems surprised us - both were better from the start than we anticipated and both required some exploration to come to understand.

    Experiences:

    The day Windows Vista was released to business customers I did a clean install of Vista Ultimate on a then three year old Compaq laptop (NX9600) that had been a test system since BETA 2. The clean install took about twenty-two (22) minutes soup-to-nuts. Everything worked. A quick pass on the reference video card driver from Windows Update and a manual install of the release WHQL Video driver from ATI (they were still called that then), and I was done. The laptop has been great since day one. It's running SP1 RTM now (manually downloaded from MSDN) which was installed after removing the latest SP1 RC refresh and using Windows Update to prepare the system for SP1 RTM. None of the nonsense I have read about Vista has manifested itself on the system - the very one I am writing this post on now. The same is true of Office 2007, which I installed the same day. While it took a little getting used to (like an hour) I quickly fell in technical-love with the new Office Ribbon UI. I knew that Vista was going to index my drive, so I let it do that and settle in while I went back to work.

    By the end of the next day, all of our office systems had been updated and I had upgraded another computer - clean install around an existing XP Pro install - placing the old installation into the familiar Windows.old directory for an easy transfer back into the user profile. Again, zero issues were encountered with the install, or use of the computer. It too is running Vista SP1 RTM.

    By Christmas of 2006, all of my home systems were running Windows Vista Ultimate. The last of them to be upgraded is a test media centric box that I have written about here. It was an in-place upgrade over XP Media Center Edition, which took several hours. It has been a flawless system that we have pushed really hard and despite the load, it has held up incredibly well. One of my son's has a similar box driving multiple TV tuners and digital cable boxes (he records all the TV he views) and his has been just as solid. Both are running Vista SP1 RTM and both updated without incident.

    The day Windows Vista went into general release we deployed our first media centric system connected to a 65" professional series Panasonic 1080P panel. It was a fun build and it has been running beautifully for over a year. The first weekend after that and we deployed our first network of Vista computers into a medical practice running an ancient patient information system parallel to a wide variety of diagnostic and instrumentation software. That network has been flawless and the mix of client software supported proved to us that Vista was ready for business.

    Again, there were no surprises, less Vista itself. We just didn't expect it to do as well as quickly as it did. As Vista matured, so much of what made it different began to reveal itself. How it reports problems and how they are worked on and how solutions are delivered was frankly, amazing.

    Over the last year we have built and deployed many Vista based systems and networks for businesses of many types - from engineering firms to hospitals and retail sales stores using Microsoft Point Of Sale 2.0 and in each case, Vista has been simple to use and rock solid. Better still, customers have loved it and have come to rely on it.

    Witnessing:

    Also during the last year we have read, heard and seen one alleged technical expert after another whine about and then allege to have abandoned Windows Vista. This has been surprising and makes me wonder what these alleged experts are doing and what they are running. If we hadn't used Vista in so many different ways, and opposite so many different pieces of specialty software and hardware, I might be able to understand them better, if not for the diversity of what we do and how close we are to the day to day use of Vista by so many different types of users - for the life of me, I just don't get it and can't see what they are talking about.

    Since we don't buy OEM manufactured computers, but custom build our own, I guess one could say we can control the processes better, but one would think that the large OEM's with their engineering resources, would have a great handle on their designs and mix of components. I have to believe that the likes of Dell and HP are most capable of making great machines. Similarly, we upgraded so many old and different systems, that one would think we would have seen at least a few of the insurmountable obstacles that many technology pundits assert they have experienced.

    Most recently, Chris Pirillo joined the legion of the lost and quit Windows for OS X. His explanation was simply weird and laced with spleen directed not so much at Microsoft, but Windows Vista and as he put it, "the direction it had taken." I haven't seen much of Chris Pirillo in recent years and I don't know much about what he has experienced, so it is harder to grasp what he means. I do find it very odd that someone who is supposed to be strong technically could have been so challenged by the new Windows. One thing I did note is that he was using Outlook 2000 and compared its capabilities with OS X Leopard's version of mail.app? Huh? (Bleeding edge technology enthusiast and he uses Outlook 2000? - one would think that he'd use hosted Exchange opposite his own domain and Outlook 2007 (Outlook Anywhere). That one example makes me question what exactly Chris knows and what his real skill level is. It just does not make any sense. Anyone who understands a lick about messaging (certainly any "Tech Expert") would at least be familiar with Outlook Anywhere - after all, the capability has been supported since 2000!

    Before Chris there was Jim Louderback, and the chief editor over at Maximum PC (whom I opine must surrender the Minimum BS tag line under the magazine's title to those who can make a PC run better than they apparently can(not)).

    Leo Laporte, who in 1998 thought that the Active Desktop in Windows 98 was akin to the second coming, long ago left Windows in favor of Apple, Mac OS X and anything the company does, or says. The outright fallacies about Microsoft and Vista coming from Mr. Laporte's mouth are so outrageous and patently inaccurate, that it's just funny - which to his credit, I assess is his goal - to simply entertain. At least I hope that is the case. I hope his show with Paul Thurrott is amusing to both of them, because it offers precious little value to Windows users trying to get the most out of the platform - but hey, I'm sure they both score well on the "Snark Attack" meters so popular in the bay area.

    At least John C. Dvorak admits that he has never used Windows Vista and like something of a gentleman, he's been largely silent on the matter - but for Mr. Dvorak, largely silent is still pretty vocal. So for a guy that has not used the new OS much, it's always a special treat to hear him chime in about what makes it so bad, or why it will fail. Mr. Dvorak, you know better, I think...

    The guys over at Revision3 are a complete trip - dripping with cool - as cool as a bunch of tards can be, that is. Any intern we have ever had knows more about technology than they seem to and watching them work Vista over hits one's gag reflex pretty quick. They're lucky most people really do not know much about computers, or they'd never have been funded. Poor, poor VC's - round after wasted round...

    What any of these people are running for hardware is anyone's wag.

    Guessing:

    I don't know what any of these people are using, but it can't possibly be hardware from the following little known manufacturers: (the stuff we use)

    Intel
    ASUS
    Seagate
    Nvidia
    Plextor
    Antec
    Creative
    Logitech
    Microsoft (keyboards, mice and video cameras)
    WiLife (now part of Logitech)
    HP
    Hauppauge
    Crucial
    Micron

    Given the differences in what we actually experience with Vista day to day, and what we read and hear from "Tech Experts", I have to ask: "exactly what does it take to be considered a computer expert these days?"

    Trust but Verify:

    Just a quick hint for people who really want to get at what is going on with Windows Vista in the one area that truly can cause users some trouble.. go to START, and in the search box type verifier - the top most search return will be a little program called, verifier.exe. This is the Driver Verifier Manager in Windows Vista and it is one of the best tools baked into the new operating system. The driver verifier isn't new - it's been around in one form or another since Windows 2000 and it is a great way to assess installed drivers. In Windows Vista the verifier one can use the default first option to Create standard settings. The next option and task is to Automatically select unsigned drivers. This will detect any unsigned drivers if they exist. Having no unsigned drivers is the desired result.

    In my example, as depicted at the image inserted below, I have run the verifier tool on my oldest Windows Vista system (a six year old Pentium 4 3.06 [w/HT] that uses a Promise Super Trak 6 channel RAID controller). As can be seen, I have run the verifier tool, discovered an unsigned driver and the next step is to restart the system to verify the driver. In the absence of driver signing, verifying the driver is a good way to test and "verify" if it is stable. Now, from where I sit, this is the sort of thing that the "Tech Experts" I have mentioned above, should be using for themselves and sharing with others (provided that they are sincerely interested in helping and informing people and not more interested in ad based revenue opposite "Snark Infested Waters fed by rivers of Bovine Scatology!").

    I really like the idea of verifying systems and all that goes into them. There are tools readily available to all users to help them verify their own systems and at least get them oriented in the right direction. I think as users of computers we have a right and an obligation to expect that those that are held out as experts, or allow themselves to be regarded as expert computer users, be as thoughtful as possible. When they do not back up what they say with data and they do not appear to use available testing and diagnostic tools, I think we have to begin to examine what they say and write with our own more thoughtful approach. We have to begin to press the experts with tougher questions and demand answers. If the tech industry's experts can't get their systems to run, let's ask them what they are running and what exactly they are doing that produces such terrible results. Let's examine more closely their business relationships with competitors of the products they assert are so bad. I think we owe it to ourselves to hold "experts" to task and request that they publish the data supporting what they say. I say we need to trust, but verify and get to the bottom of the matter.

    I just can't believe that we are simply lucky and for some odd reason that we cannot explain, our Windows Vista experiences have been so much better than what the online experts have shared. It's just too easy to verify things and Vista simply has too many instrumentation tools available to it for issues and questions to persist.

    I trust what I see and what I see is a good Vista. I no longer trust our industry's experts - not because I disagree with them, but because I do not see any evidence of their use of expert tools. There is nothing to base trust upon and one "Snark Attack" after another, does not evidence make.

  • What we'll see this year

    The year is only getting started and if we have our way, it will be among the most exciting years we've ever seen.

    We've completed our very own Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) software suite - "Sovereign" as it is called internally. Ten years worth of work and we finally have a product that makes an ERP available for small and medium sized businesses. We've baked in project management, resource planning, mapping, charting, Decision Control Panels, financials, HR, CRM, and much more to a product that easily integrates with messaging systems, IP telephony and rights management systems. Sovereign, added to our custom built hardware, managed networks and the services we host for customers, completes our Hardware + Software + Services model and Value-Plus strategy. We stayed on this vision for over a decade and we're confident that it will pay off for our customers.

    ERP software aside, there is just so much more to look forward to this year.

    I wanted to take a few moments to share what I see in my crystal ball... not that it is any clearer than any other...

    Convergence will continue to push software into everything. High Definition is not enough and product differentiation will see HDTV's and other display panels get a lot brainier - panels will have built in clients and interfaces supporting connections to down-loadable content stores as well as native Windows Media Center Extenders.

    Display panels will also lose their wires and begin to feature Ultra-Wide band interfaces - making them not only great clients, but great hosts and we'll see the first panels that can store content for wireless distribution to other small panels.

    Logitech (I hope) will come up with a platform that uses good software to distribute high-resolution pictures, video and music to intelligent brilliant picture frames.

    Logitech's WiLife line of small office and home video surveillance systems will take off in a huge way, and home control devices and equally smart software will follow quickly.

    Microsoft will ship both an add-on Blu-Ray disc player and a new Xbox 360 version that features both Blu-Ray and a special software package designed especially for home media enthusiasts. While thew new "Xbox Media Station" (My guess, and not any official name) can play games, its focus will be on entertainment - HD Movies, TV, On-line Content (Podcasts, Streaming Media) and as a client for Zune owners and the Zune Marketplace. It may even be a full on IPTV client (again, a guess and a hope).

    Microsoft will also ship a new Xbox "Slot" device - an Xbox on a card that OEM's can use to integrate with PC's and provide for integration of the Xbox to the PC in either a hardware virtualization supported play, or by software virtualization alone (once again, a sincere hope).

    At a minimum, Microsoft will remove the barriers between the Xbox and Games for Windows and rejuvenate gaming on the PC one way or another (this is a prayer as much as a hope)

    Thin will be way in. Apple was right and the Macbook Air is on the right path - although others like ASUS and Toshiba will do it better. Light, thin, second client PC's will become very popular.

    That is about all Apple will get right this year. Apple has peaked and people are sick of the snark. The term,"Snark Attack" will become popularized, as a sub-set of our society expresses its frustration with Apple and its special way of branding products at the expense of others. Apple will release new iPods (so what), but the sleeper ride in the room is the Zune II. With its all you can eat buffet of growing content, it'll quickly eat up Apple market share in the higher end of the DMP space.

    Apple's iTunes is already dead as we know it. The rules are changing and subscription based content will cut deeply into Apple. Apple will have a very hard time mending fences with content owners and distributors. The Apple TV II is too little, too late and Apple will suffer for it.

    Apple's OS X will do alright throughout most of the year, but will end up the subject of a lot of security issues by Christmas. Security software for OS X will become quite popular.

    The iPhone II will ship in November (without Exchange support) and fail against a dizzying array of competing products it inspired that do have native support for Exchange. Apple's refusal to license ActiveSync will be the undoing of the iPhone (Pure speculation - as I have no idea why Apple can't seem to get Exchange support).

    Sony and the PS3 will receive a real bump, and as Paul Thurrott correctly opined, in the end, the PS3 will triumph over all. It will be well on its way by year's end, but it will not execute as well as Microsoft will with the 360. Both players will be great choices for gaming and entertainment and in the end, Sony may prevail - after all.... it has proved it can buy content owners' loyalty and libraries, or leverage that which it owns outright. In this space, content will be king.

    Windows Vista will prove to be very resilient to any form of attack. As numbers supporting actual exploits (or the lack of them, as it will be shown) are published, enterprises will line up to adopt the new OS. By year's end, Windows Vista will be warmly embraced as a very secure platform member and respect for it will grow exponentially. Enterprises will then speak to Vista's other great strength, lower operating costs and ease of deployment and manageability, and more than one CIO will find him/herself answering some tough questions presented by those counting beans.

    PAN's or Personal Area Networks and Windows Vista's NW stack will become popular blogging topics - as personal networks of securable objects transform our understanding of what a PAN is (read, not a Bluetooth based PAN, but something much more significant). Essentially, not just data, but personal and business intelligence, will begin to come with us and as one's PAN overlaps with the PAN's of others, we'll see some amazing work done in software that begins to hint of the world our kids and grandkids will take for granted. We'll all become "social" and information and finalized intelligence product will be all around us - bugging us with ads on one hand and informing and entertaining us with the other.

    Cable and Satellite providers will scramble for dance partners and the lines between telco's and media carriers will blur. The FCC and federal regulators won't be able to keep up and both legislators and lawyers will scrape off more than their share of the profits - as they side-step the losses.

    Google's share price will crater. The one-trick pony has no song and dance and not a dog is to be seen for the pony to play with. Headlines like, "What went wrong?" will be all over the web and no one will be happy about it at all... having just barely dodged a recession in the U.S., the Google Bubble bursting will not be celebrated by anyone - not even Microsoft.

    Revision3 will fail - as traditional content carriers with better production facilities finally figure out that they can plug into the Internet, too. Leo Laporte and his entire line-up of Twit programming will be the catalyst and provide the content and leadership for the carriers with the brains and balls to see it happen. Some Revision3 faces will appear on those networks. Leo won't be magnanimous in victory - and he shouldn't be.

    John Dvorak will retire and write children's books and prove he can be as sweet as he can be cynical. (this one I actually believe).

    The EU and its anti-US-trust arm will continue to suck blood out of U.S. and European companies. If any one company succeeds in any way at all, it will be subject to the anti-trust TAX. It is a TAX - make no mistake about it.

    One day our grandkids will look back at all of it and all of us and ask, "WTF? How did you live like that?"

  • The Day the PC Died

    Placing my head in a bucket with a small hole drilled in the bottom, I wander around aimlessly, looking for the sense I lost in a sea of sand...one granule is what I seek...only one...

    That sense is really a decision to see the good in all things and is born and reborn of the choice one makes to seek it out and of the discipline required to ignore all that is perceived to be bad around it - one granule in a sea of sand.

    When what one does for a living is design and build personal computers, it can be very easy to get lost and lose sight of why we do it - with so many changes impacting the PC industry and so many pressures on builders, large and small, it is all too easy to get swept away in a sea of negative energy. Costs are up - way up, and margins could not be more down. Differentiation is all but impossible for smaller builders who have less access to the resources large builders have to develop compelling case designs with a fashionable twist - a nice trend driving some laptop sales. All in one designs are attractive, but expensive [to buy and build], underpowered and only fit a very small segment of the market - where too few people are willing to drop so much for so little on a second computer, or as a replacement for the primary systems people usually pass down as they moved up - moving up to less power? Not gonna happen...

    It is little wonder why PC sales are not only not growing like they could, but why they offer so little profit essential to those building them.

    What did it? What killed the PC? On what date did the PC die?

    On March 10, 2000 the "X-box Project" was officially confirmed by Microsoft, and on that date, the PC died. Microsoft, killed the personal computer as we knew it. We didn't know it, but Microsoft did [more on why they did it later on in this article].

    While Microsoft would not launch the original Xbox until November 15th, 2001 [in North America], the stake that would eventually kill the PC had already been driven home - the moment Microsoft announced that they intended to enter into the gaming and entertainment console business. One can't fault Microsoft, they are a software company and too many people forget that. Microsoft builds software for everything and creating or driving markets into which their software is sold is not only their right, but part of their corporate responsibility. Regardless, Microsoft killed the personal computer - actions that would eventually strip it of everything personal, less the pretty paint and colored plastic seen on some laptops. Microsoft's decision gutted an industry and eviscerated all but a few very agile and inventive small builders who bake services into their wares and sell hardware as part of a more comprehensive offering.

    Microsoft's decision had two additional and predictable consequences, Apple, who sells the perception of a life-style, would survive and prosper [as just another OEM builder - after all, how many more Windows and Microsoft Office licenses are sold to those buying Macs?], and enthusiasm for personal computers would wane as what was left of the computer business fought for market share based on price. As millions and then hundreds of millions of low-powered, under-protected and unmanaged PC's flooded the market, the magic wore off at a rate about equal to the increased instances of mal-ware infections. The PC had officially become a commodity and boring - and no amount of colored plastic was going to change that.

    Microsoft's decision had another, and I assess anticipated consequence, Windows Vista would take a beating. After all, where there is little enthusiasm for the PC as a platform, how much tolerance could exist for a new operating system and all the bumps and horns that come with them in their first year of life? As a commodity the PC had no power to bolster itself, much less a new OS that was vastly more complex than its predecessor.

    The second Microsoft announced plans for the Xbox, it signaled PC gamers and enthusiasts that they no longer mattered to the company. Notice is said, the company, and not necessarily the people who work in it, or lead it. I am sure there are islands of people within Microsoft that did not agree with the change in direction. I am also fairly certain that the change occurred at a time when there were a great many distractions impacting the company and its leaders related to the anti-trust case against it. I've been through some soul searching changes in my own business and it's tough stuff. I'm quite certain senior leaders at Microsoft were hurt and way down deep where it sticks for a bit. By the time things settled down, the PC was dead as an object of affection and more and different types of software had to be built. Its death, like the move of software and connected intelligence into all things electrical, was inevitable. The Digital Natives had taken over everything was, "Meh" or worse, "I want my meh right now!" Industry influencers just a few years older were too busy buying houses and birthing babies to give a flip - they were busy getting used to the idea that they weren't bullet proof after all.

    Gamers mattered. PC Enthusiasts mattered [so often one in the same]. Both groups were bent over and ...<This is where you are invited to insert your own creative strings of expletives> <Use your imagination and make any Navy Chief blush and run for cover in the nearest brothel>. Gamers mattered to the PC. They didn't and don't matter to Microsoft, or any other software, or consumer electronics company. The PC needed gamers and it needed enthusiastic young people to love it. Without support from a company like Microsoft, the PC died and its most important base of users was betrayed and left out in the cold.

    Games for Windows - Peoples Exhibits 'A' 'B' 'C' 'D' 'E' and 'F' [Your Honor... the prosecution rests...]

    Best Buy Games for Windows End Cap in Hoover Alabama

    Games for Windows my giddy aunt... there are barely enough titles to justify the plural form of the word, "game." The image above, taken at the Best Buy in Hoover, Alabama says it all... even the sign, which I tried to fix, is broken. Slapped up there like some after thought, the sign had a single peg that wouldn't hold its own weight. It sagged haplessly over a dismal selection of titles, seemingly cast aside like misfit toys on Christmas Eve. Stalking [as in hunting] one's way through stacks of discounted Sony Play Station 3 40 GB systems, I was on a mission - buy two copies of Unreal Tournament III - one for myself and our younger boys and one for my eldest Son, Chris. UT3 isn't even an official Games for Windows title and as if to further communicate just how bad things are, the UT3 "DVD" comes packaged in one of the older thick multi-disc CDROM cases - most likely picked up at reduced bulk rates by the game's distributors. In the background, one of the legion of "Guitar Queero's" can be seen jamming to a song he can listen to, but will likely never "hear."

    Just a short detour...

    The drive home was pretty quiet. Normally we'd have jabbered on and on about how we were going to set up a gaming server and tear it up for a few hours. It was kind of sad, but telling... while we had wisely aligned our company to suite the new market a decade ahead of the changes that flattened many others, there wasn't much satisfaction in it at all. Hardware + Software + full-Services can be and are compelling and we're glad we continue to prosper, but we miss our PC Brothers in Arms - we even miss the competition. We miss the youthful enthusiasm.

    When we got to our home my son installed UT3 to one of the custom media systems we built - an older AV centric P4 running Vista Ultimate and fitted with an Nvidia 8800 GTS SD [768 MB RAM]. While not a screamer, it holds its own with a WEI of 4.8 [lower due to the older CPU]. The rig is connected via a DVI to HDMI adapter to a 52" LCD and runs at 1920 x 1080P. The image is stunning to say the least and this PC, as a media test platform, has been tougher than woodpecker lips. It still amazes us by running so well, despite the pounding its life as a test mule has exposed it to. It's running the latest WHQL video drivers and SP1 RTM for Vista and just as through every month before, it still runs as flawlessly as when it was born.

    Chris set up the game and rammed its settings sliders hard over - 1920 x 1080, it would be, or we'd build until it was...anything less would not be accepted. As Chris played UT3 the imagery was incredible and the PC delivered delicious frame after butter-smooth frame. It was flawless in terms of technical performance and simply amazing to watch. A couple of the older boys came in the den and echoes of "Whoa" and "Man... great graphics; what game is that?" were exclaimed. "UT3 on the By God PC!" was Chris' answer - he didn't say the words; he didn't have to; his face said it all - as he blasted his way to victory after victory in Deathmatch and Capture the Flag events.

    The younger boys didn't bite and back to Call of Duty 4 on the 360 and reality we all went... woo little hoo hoo and whoop little whoop d' doo...

    CoD4 wouldda, shouldda, couldda been on the PC as a hit - humbling every console before it... but it isn't... it's on the 360 where Plug-N-Play really is plug and play. Without Microsoft leading and developing for the PC, gamers and enthusiasts never had a chance. Again, it isn't Microsoft's fault - they are, as we must all finally understand, a software company and a public corporation. They had no real choice but to kill the PC - after all, there is so much more out here that requires software.

    Back to my bucket...

    "It echoes in here...." not akin to blinders at all, but discipline... "I'm not taking it off until I see the good in this and all things..."

    "It's all a personal computer - all of it - everything is my PC... everything..." My PC; your PC; our Personal Computers... all of them are no longer limited to just one place; one box, or one room. My PC is my PC. Our Xbox is my PC, too. My Zune is my PC. My car is my PC. My business and all its servers are my PC. They are all my PC and they are all connected and what I experience is my PC. They are all one "thing" and that thing is growing. The PC isn't dead at all - it died and became a powerful heavenly being - an angel willing to serve my every need. As nostalgic as many of us might be for all the things the PC was, we ought to be incredibly excited about what the PC really is and what it will become.

    The PC - the Personal Computer never was a thing at all. It was never just one place. It was all places and all things at once. It was and is the the source. The PC is all places and all things where all knowledge may be found and created and shared. In this new universal PC space, gamers and enthusiasts do matter - more than ever and it is time someone told them that every day. It is time Microsoft shared what it knew and what it knows about the new personal computer.

    It is time for Microsoft to rejoin the living; forget the past; leave the case in the dust-bin of history, and show us the way forward, as your chairman once offered to do.

    Games for Windows. Microsoft, make that real and kill the lines and space between the PC and Xbox and never create them again. Do the same for the marketplace and Zune - make it all "The PC"

  • Fix Windows Live OneCare Circle Status

    Windows Live OneCare as its name implies, can help keep home computers safer, running optimally and easier to use and manage.

    Many families now have more than one computer and Windows Live OneCare is Microsoft's solution for home users. OneCare was the first product to add computer tuning and routine maintenance features to a security product - including disk defragmentation, disk cleanup, Windows Updates and backup utilities. Clearly, Microsoft's goal for OneCare was larger and designed to help users maintain their computers, which meant more than helping protect them from undesired software. OneCare had to help users manage the basic tasks necessary to keep a Windows computer running well - and it does. OneCare allows users to easily set up a maintenance and tuning schedule that helps keep their computers running well and free of undesired bits. OneCare set a useful trend and soon after security companies like Symantec fielded competing products like Norton 360.

    Last year Microsoft added management support for more than one computer from one "HUB PC" within what it calls a OneCare Circle. It's a great idea - extend the easy to use OneCare maintenance and tuning wizard to more than one computer and run and monitor it all from one PC. Just as business and enterprise administrators manage security, computer maintenance and backup from centralized systems, Windows Live OneCare seeks to do the same for small home networks. OneCare features an easy way to add and manage up to three computers within a OneCare Circle. Member computers have a simple and clear status icon next to their computer name and text describing their status and what actions to take where they may be required. I like the idea and welcomed the ease of use, affordable cost, and efficiency driving the design.

    Just as with many business and enterprise security and maintenance applications suites, the Windows Live OneCare Circle has had some teething pains and its share of problems. We've seen our share of such problems and recently I noted that the status of computers within our OneCare Circle were incorrectly reporting that action was required. Randomly, two connected member computers within the circle would reflect that they needed action. When the connected computer was inspected it was discovered that the local OneCare client program was running normally and each reflected a green status icon. All three computers could see one another on the network and all ran normally; all three systems were up to date and connected to the Internet.

    A quick reboot of the HUB-PC did not solve the problem. Removing a member PC from the circle and adding it back again solved the problem temporarily, but the same issue appeared a day later. Removing and adding back a second member computer produced the same behavior and the OneCare Circle status, while clean and green at each member PC, continued to report that action was required at the HUB-PC's OneCare management console. With all three member computers individually reporting a green status, the problem had to be related to how the HUB-PC receives information and status updates from the service... but which one?

    Since each member computer individually communicates its status (this applies to licensing, subscription status and state) over the Internet, and in each case, all reported a green status, it was more likely that the HUB-PC was either not receiving reported status updates, or it was not able to pass the information from the system to the OneCare Circle. Microsoft's documentation recommended restarting the service, which was done, but had no affect. Then it struck me... there is a relationship between OneCare and any security suite's processes and the Windows Security Center and its service. The Security Center service is a Windows Local System Service that is set to delayed start. A delayed start provides monitored processes enough time to start normally before they begin to report their status - in this case, to the security center. OneCare, like most security suites, uses this service - though in OneCare's case, monitoring actions and settings are executed from within the application, instead of at the security center itself.

    Given how OneCare works with the Security Center, it seemed possible that it had not reported member computers' status either in time, or accurately. One would think that a system restart would have solved this, but then another thought occurred to me... the host, or HUB-PC used to manage our OneCare Circle is a Windows Vista Ultimate computer and Ultimate uses secure startup, or CornerStone technologies. Secure Startup isolates a computer during start up and shut down and prevents access to the system as security software covering network interfaces comes on-line. While not confirmed, its seemed possible that secure startup was preventing OneCare from receiving information from the security center... one way to find out... bump the security center service and observe for results.

    By going to the Windows Vista Start button and typing services into the Instant Search window, it was easy enough to find the services management console snap-in and save a trip to the control panel's administrative tools section. Clicking on the services snap-in and opening it requires approving one UAC escalation prompt, or entering administrative user credentials. Scrolling down the list of services to the security center service is easy enough to find - for those interested, (C:\Windows\System32\svchost.exe -k LocalServiceNetworkRestricted is the path to the service, properly named: WSCSVC). To manage the service, highlight and Right-Click it and select properties. To restart it, stop it, or manually start it, or any service, right-click it and select the desired action. See figure below:

    When I bumped the security center service, Windows Live OneCare's status immediately turned green on the HUB-PC used to manage our OneCare Circle and my hunt was over... I had found out what was wrong and what to do about it - it sure beats un-joining and joining member systems, or hunting for another applications suite to help me manage this small sub-circle of computers on our home network! [we have a couple of home networks and this one, MCEWG houses the media centric computers and two laptops used by some of our younger children]. While not a complete, or permanent solution, bumping the security center service on a Windows Live OneCare HUB-PC is a quick way to resolve the error in status reporting and offers home network managers a way to address the behavior without having to remove and re-add members. I'll wrap all this up and fire off an email to both the Windows and OneCare teams and perhaps they can provide a permanent solution. In the meantime, I can quit sweating system status and get back to work. It's unfortunate that the very software and features intended to make multi-PC family network managers' lives easier, sometimes makes them more difficult instead. I'm still very much in favor of the idea and OneCare and I am sure that the OneCare team will continue to improve the product. I hope this post helps other OneCare users keep their home networks and systems Clean and Green.

    Windows Live OneCare awards and certifications

    Windows Live OneCare Team Blog